These rules include the law of inevitability ("even if each of the possible outcomes has a tiny probability of occurring, it's certain that one of them will"), the law of large numbers ("with a large enough number of opportunities, any outrageous thing is likely to happen"), the law of the probability lever ("a slight change in circumstances can have a huge impact on probability") and the law of near enough ("events that are sufficiently similar may be regarded as identical," as in, the likelihood that a race will end in a tie depends on the accuracy of your stopwatch). There's also the law of selection, a factor that Hand likens to shooting a bunch of arrows into the side of a barn and then painting targets around them afterward to demonstrate your extraordinary skill at archery.