The Threshold of Fear: Why 2026 Marks the End of the Islamic Republic

Security forces themselves are showing signs of unprecedented fatigue. Reports of desertions and "quiet strikes" among the lower ranks of the police and even the IRGC suggest that the cost of repressing their own neighbors is becoming too high. When the men behind the shields begin to see their own mothers and sisters in the crowds, the regime's "iron fist" begins to tremble, signaling the beginning of the end.